Jason Weaver: My best bets at Dundalk & Wolverhampton on Friday night – Paddy Power News
The selection looks to represent very solid value against the favourite whose climbed a fair way in the handicap. He stays well which looks a concern for most of the other runners in the line up over this 1m trip. He saw out the mile well at Redcar and will have no problem stepping up in trip slightly again.
We’ve a solid trainer jockey combo of Keith Dalgleish and Joe Fanning on our side.
Not very many from Rae Guest’s squad win first-time out and the fact her trainer ran her at Listed level early in her career, speaks volumes. He’s not one to just throw them in at the deep end.
She’s been dropped 5lbs for a couple of spins over the minimum trip and now upped in distance and dropped in grade, she should be able to make her class tell here.
Has all the ability in the world, it’s just whether trainer Joseph O’Brien has got his mind in the correct state at present. He was probably as big physically in his juvenile career as he is now as a four-year-old, so all the strength should be in position for a solid four-year-old campaign.
I’m not sure what the tactics will be, it could be ‘point and shoot’ or ‘hold and wait’ – but it’s certainly a test for his young rider, Shane Crosse.
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Has been running a touch more consistently since fitted with the cheek-pieces and gets the all important equipment change on Friday, as the visor goes on.
His wins-to-runs ratio isn’t the best, but the favourite looks vulnerable.
When she won here recently it wasn’t a particularly fast time, so she is worth taking on for that reason. Qaaraat has a much better draw now in stall two, than when second from stall 10 to Three Little Birds, three runs back.
Donnacha O’Brien may well strike earlier on the card (Mythologic 18:30) with his first runner as a licensed trainer, but it’s a little bit of a guess as to what else is in the field is useful, as there are a few unknowns.
The O’Brien runner looks to have that attractive, improving profile and can get the team rolling officially, drawn perfectly in stall one off the paint.
All his three wins have come on an artificial surface and this course and distance suits him particularly well. It was a bit of a ‘never nearer’ effort last time, one of those runs that could’ve been better had things panned out a little differently in the early stages.
He’s been given a great starting position right on the fence and although he’s not thrown in off his rating of 63, he did win over course and distance here last October off that mark.
Prices and entries correct at publication
